Hapoel Haifa 4-3 Hapoel Tel Aviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 31 Jan 2024

Hapoel Haifa
4-3 HT 4-0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
📅31/01/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Israel - Ligat HaAl – 2023/2024

Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
36%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.99
6+ Goals
9%
18.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 34% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.5pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.2pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+9.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.3pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hapoel Haifa v Hapoel Tel Aviv — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Haifa EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
2.34/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.43
+76% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +103% / +25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 72%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
25.9 Crosses 14.3
3.3 Yellow Cards 4.3

Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Haifa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.60 xG 0.71
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 5
225 Passes 460
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 HT 0-1 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa İSR

Hapoel Haifa 4-3 Hapoel Tel Aviv — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Haifa
4-3
AWAY Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.23 xG 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
288 Passes 308
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Haifa edged past Hapoel Tel Aviv 4-3. Half-time: 4-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hapoel Haifa as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hapoel Haifa had 47% of the ball to Hapoel Tel Aviv's 53%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.23 to 1.50.

What was the final score of Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Hapoel Haifa 4-3 Hapoel Tel Aviv in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Haifa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Haifa 43%, draw 22%, Hapoel Tel Aviv 36%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hapoel Haifa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hapoel Haifa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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