Tottenham U21 4-3 Aston Villa U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
25%
1.0
Over 2.5
75%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
No
31%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
24%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
5%
2/1
14%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.3pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham U21 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-29% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.6 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Aston Villa U21
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.91 xG 1.87
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
405 Passes 230
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Tottenham U21 Tottenham U21 5-3 HT 1-2 Aston Villa U21 Aston Villa U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham U21
4-3
AWAY Aston Villa U21
3.44 xG 3.30
58% Ball Possession 42%
27 Total Shots 19
12 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 8
535 Passes 336
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
65 Box Touches 41
41 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Tottenham U21 vs Aston Villa U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham U21 nicked a narrow win over Aston Villa U21 4-3. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tottenham U21 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (75%), both teams to score (69%) came in.

On the day, Tottenham U21 had 58% of the ball to Aston Villa U21's 42%, shots finished 27-19, expected goals 3.44 to 3.30.

What was the final score of Tottenham U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

Tottenham U21 4-3 Aston Villa U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tottenham U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tottenham U21 47%, draw 19%, Aston Villa U21 34%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tottenham U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tottenham U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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