Tottenham U21 5-3 Aston Villa U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.33
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
29%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
71%
-20.5pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.9pp
28%
Away Win
13%
+15.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.2pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham U21 EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham U21
5-3
AWAY Aston Villa U21
1.91 xG 1.87
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
405 Passes 230
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tottenham U21 vs Aston Villa U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham U21 saw off Aston Villa U21 5-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tottenham U21 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tottenham U21 had 61% of the ball to Aston Villa U21's 39%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.91 to 1.87.

What was the final score of Tottenham U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

Tottenham U21 5-3 Aston Villa U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tottenham U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tottenham U21 50%, draw 21%, Aston Villa U21 28%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tottenham U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tottenham U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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