Chelsea U21 3-2 Reading U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.8
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
42%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.33
No
43%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
52%
-11.9pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.8pp
42%
Away Win
27%
+14.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
71%
-14.6pp
43%
BTTS No
29%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea U21 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Reading U21 EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
377 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea U21
3-2
AWAY Reading U21
2.72 xG 1.52
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
333 Passes 329
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chelsea U21 vs Reading U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea U21 edged past Reading U21 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 18% / 42% — and on the day Chelsea U21 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Chelsea U21 had 50% of the ball to Reading U21's 50%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 2.72 to 1.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Chelsea U21's control.

What was the final score of Chelsea U21 vs Reading U21?

Chelsea U21 3-2 Reading U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea U21 vs Reading U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Reading U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chelsea U21 40%, draw 18%, Reading U21 42%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Reading U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Reading U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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