Atlante 5-1 CD Tapatio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlante EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 23%
+10% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +18%
1.66/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.33
-1% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlante
2W-3D-1L
AWAY CD Tapatio
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
03.05.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-3 HT 0-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
03.04.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
01.10.2023 Atlante Atlante 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
04.06.2023 Atlante Atlante 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
14.05.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
11.05.2023 Atlante Atlante 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
POST-MATCH Atlante vs CD Tapatio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlante ran out comfortable winners over CD Tapatio 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atlante as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atlante and 0.33 for CD Tapatio.

What was the final score of Atlante vs CD Tapatio?

Atlante 5-1 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlante vs CD Tapatio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atlante 45%, draw 27%, CD Tapatio 29%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlante) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atlante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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