Antalyaspor 1-2 Pendikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.66
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
21%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.02
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.66 — our 27% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.95
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
13%
5.2
X/2
10%
6.71
X/X
12%
5.39
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
13%
4.23
2/X
6%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.2pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.35/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.92
+7% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -44%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
19.1 Crosses 18.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antalyaspor
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Pendikspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.38 xG 1.31
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
258 Passes 339
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 3
17.01.2024 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Pendikspor Pendikspor TÜK
09.01.2024 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
09.11.2022 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 3-0 HT 3-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor TÜK
25.11.2020 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antalyaspor
1-2
AWAY Pendikspor
1.88 xG 2.35
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 23
7 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 5
333 Passes 227
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 38
18 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pendikspor nicked a narrow win over Antalyaspor 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Antalyaspor at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Antalyaspor had 59% of the ball to Pendikspor's 41%, shots finished 15-23, expected goals 1.88 to 2.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Antalyaspor had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Antalyaspor and 0.25 for Pendikspor.

What was the final score of Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor?

Antalyaspor 1-2 Pendikspor in the Turkey - Super League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antalyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Antalyaspor 45%, draw 25%, Pendikspor 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Antalyaspor) ✗ BTTS No
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