Goias 2-1 Avai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 6 May 2025

Goias
2-1 HT 2-1
Avai
📅06/05/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.1
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
5.48
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.9pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.2pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.4pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Avai EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +4%
1.20/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.08
+28% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
23.0 Crosses 15.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goias
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Avai
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.13 xG 1.21
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 Passes 278
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 Goias Goias 2-1 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR2
28.05.2024 Avai Avai 2-0 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR2
13.08.2022 Goias Goias 1-1 HT 0-1 Avai Avai BR1
26.04.2022 Avai Avai 3-2 HT 1-0 Goias Goias BR1
22.09.2021 Avai Avai 1-0 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR2
23.06.2021 Goias Goias 3-0 HT 2-0 Avai Avai BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
2-1
AWAY Avai
1.49 xG 1.04
61% Ball Possession 39%
26 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 6
340 Passes 190
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 21
34 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Goias vs Avai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias edged past Avai 2-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; Goias found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Goias had 61% of the ball to Avai's 39%, shots finished 26-14, expected goals 1.49 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avai led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Goias and 1.33 for Avai.

What was the final score of Goias vs Avai?

Goias 2-1 Avai in the Brazil - Serie B on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goias vs Avai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Goias 40%, draw 32%, Avai 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Goias) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Goias) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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