Avai 2-0 Goias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 28 May 2024

Avai
2-0 HT 0-0
Goias
📅28/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
5.45
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.7pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.3pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avai EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Goias EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
0.92/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.18
-8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
20.9 Crosses 16.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avai
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Goias
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 1.49
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 Passes 263
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2022 Goias Goias 1-1 HT 0-1 Avai Avai BR1
26.04.2022 Avai Avai 3-2 HT 1-0 Goias Goias BR1
22.09.2021 Avai Avai 1-0 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR2
23.06.2021 Goias Goias 3-0 HT 2-0 Avai Avai BR2
04.11.2019 Goias Goias 2-0 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR1
22.07.2019 Avai Avai 0-0 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avai
2-0
AWAY Goias
1.07 xG 0.42
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
271 Passes 312
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 6
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Avai vs Goias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avai got the better of Goias 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Avai found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Avai had 47% of the ball to Goias's 53%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.07 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Avai and 1.33 for Goias.

What was the final score of Avai vs Goias?

Avai 2-0 Goias in the Brazil - Serie B on 28/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avai vs Goias?

Before kick-off our model rated an Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Avai 35%, draw 29%, Goias 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Goias) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Goias) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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