Coritiba 3-0 Operario PR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 28 May 2024

📅28/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.89
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.7pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coritiba EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Operario PR EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
1.52/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.45
+11% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
21.2 Crosses 18.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coritiba
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Operario PR
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.32 xG 0.64
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
347 Passes 282
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
26.02.2023 Operario PR Operario PR 3-0 HT 1-0 Coritiba Coritiba BRPR
28.01.2022 Operario PR Operario PR 2-1 HT 1-0 Coritiba Coritiba BRPR1
04.11.2021 Coritiba Coritiba 3-1 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
26.07.2021 Operario PR Operario PR 1-0 HT 1-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
07.04.2021 Coritiba Coritiba 3-2 HT 1-1 Operario PR Operario PR BRK
25.10.2019 Coritiba Coritiba 0-0 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coritiba
3-0
AWAY Operario PR
1.26 xG 0.22
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
288 Passes 470
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Coritiba vs Operario PR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coritiba swept aside Operario PR 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Coritiba as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Coritiba had 40% of the ball to Operario PR's 60%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.26 to 0.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Operario PR led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Coritiba and 1.50 for Operario PR.

What was the final score of Coritiba vs Operario PR?

Coritiba 3-0 Operario PR in the Brazil - Serie B on 28/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Operario PR?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 48%, draw 27%, Operario PR 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coritiba), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coritiba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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