Botafogo SP 0-1 Novorizontino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 28 May 2024

Botafogo SP
0-1 HT 0-0
Novorizontino
📅28/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.44
Over 2.5
34%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2.05
2-3 Goals
35%
1.84
4-5 Goals
15%
6.33
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.2pp
31%
Draw
33%
-1.3pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
66%
-0.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
34%
+0.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.5pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Botafogo SP v Novorizontino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -1%
0.99/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.19
-21% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
22.9 Crosses 20.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo SP
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Novorizontino
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.83 xG 1.21
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
165 Passes 346
62% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 2-0 HT 1-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
28.06.2023 Novorizontino Novorizontino 0-1 HT 0-1 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
14.03.2022 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 2-1 HT 1-1 Novorizontino Novorizontino BREPAU
04.09.2021 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-4 HT 1-1 Novorizontino Novorizontino BRE3
03.07.2021 Novorizontino Novorizontino 1-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BRE3
07.05.2021 Novorizontino Novorizontino 2-2 HT 1-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BREPAU

Botafogo SP 0-1 Novorizontino — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo SP
0-1
AWAY Novorizontino
0.63 xG 0.34
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
347 Passes 262
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino nicked a narrow win over Botafogo SP 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Novorizontino made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Botafogo SP had 56% of the ball to Novorizontino's 44%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.63 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo SP had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Botafogo SP and 1.33 for Novorizontino.

What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino?

Botafogo SP 0-1 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Serie B on 28/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo SP win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Botafogo SP 37%, draw 31%, Novorizontino 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Botafogo SP) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botafogo SP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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