Goias 2-1 Avai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 14 Sep 2024

Goias
2-1 HT 0-0
Avai
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.44
Over 2.5
38%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.47
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.4pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.5pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
66%
-3.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
34%
+3.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.2pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Avai EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +17%
1.25/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.09
+36% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
21.8 Crosses 14.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goias
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Avai
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.46 xG 1.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 Passes 298
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.05.2024 Avai Avai 2-0 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR2
13.08.2022 Goias Goias 1-1 HT 0-1 Avai Avai BR1
26.04.2022 Avai Avai 3-2 HT 1-0 Goias Goias BR1
22.09.2021 Avai Avai 1-0 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR2
23.06.2021 Goias Goias 3-0 HT 2-0 Avai Avai BR2
04.11.2019 Goias Goias 2-0 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
2-1
AWAY Avai
0.86 xG 0.47
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
311 Passes 205
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Goias vs Avai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias squeezed past Avai 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Goias as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Goias had 56% of the ball to Avai's 44%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.86 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avai led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Goias and 1.17 for Avai.

What was the final score of Goias vs Avai?

Goias 2-1 Avai in the Brazil - Serie B on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goias vs Avai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Goias 43%, draw 31%, Avai 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Goias) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Goias) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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