Ponte Preta vs Ituano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ponte Preta v Ituano — Team-Based Signals
Ponte Preta vs Ituano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Ituano
BR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Ponte Preta
BR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Ituano
BR2
1-2
HT 1-2
Ponte Preta
BR2
2-2
HT 1-1
Ituano
BREPAU
Ponte Preta 1-4 Ituano — Actual Match Statistics
Ituano ran out comfortable winners over Ponte Preta 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Ponte Preta at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ponte Preta had 44% of the ball to Ituano's 56%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.78 to 2.20.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ponte Preta had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ponte Preta and 1.00 for Ituano.
What was the final score of Ponte Preta vs Ituano?
Ponte Preta 1-4 Ituano in the Brazil - Serie B on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ponte Preta vs Ituano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ponte Preta win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ponte Preta 44%, draw 30%, Ituano 26%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.