Novorizontino 2-0 Botafogo SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.44
No
57%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
17%
6.29
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.2pp
57%
BTTS No
63%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.29/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.03
+7% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
24.3 Crosses 16.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novorizontino
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Botafogo SP
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 0.90
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
334 Passes 197
78% Pass Accuracy 65%
20 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.05.2024 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-1 HT 0-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
21.10.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 2-0 HT 1-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
28.06.2023 Novorizontino Novorizontino 0-1 HT 0-1 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
14.03.2022 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 2-1 HT 1-1 Novorizontino Novorizontino BREPAU
04.09.2021 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-4 HT 1-1 Novorizontino Novorizontino BRE3
03.07.2021 Novorizontino Novorizontino 1-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BRE3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novorizontino
2-0
AWAY Botafogo SP
0.79 xG 1.15
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
177 Passes 390
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
6 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino beat Botafogo SP 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Novorizontino as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Novorizontino had 35% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 65%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 0.79 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Novorizontino and 1.00 for Botafogo SP.

What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP?

Novorizontino 2-0 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 46%, draw 27%, Botafogo SP 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novorizontino), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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