Septemvri Sofia 3-1 Slavia Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 6 May 2025

📅06/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 37%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -36%
1.50/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.64
+34% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Septemvri Sofia
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Slavia Sofia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2025 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 2-3 HT 1-1 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
14.09.2024 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 3-2 HT 1-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
28.04.2023 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 1-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
21.06.2018 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 1-1 HT 0-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Septemvri Sofia
3-1
AWAY Slavia Sofia
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Septemvri Sofia vs Slavia Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Septemvri Sofia got the better of Slavia Sofia 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Septemvri Sofia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Septemvri Sofia had 44% of the ball to Slavia Sofia's 56%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Septemvri Sofia had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Septemvri Sofia and 1.75 for Slavia Sofia.

What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?

Septemvri Sofia 3-1 Slavia Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Septemvri Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 37%, draw 28%, Slavia Sofia 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Septemvri Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Septemvri Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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