LPS 0-1 IFK Mariehamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 6 May 2025

📅06/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
15%
8.78
Away Pick
67%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
Over
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
29%
4-5
30%
6+
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
43%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
IFK Mariehamn win — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
5%
+13.2pp
15%
Draw
8%
+7.7pp
67%
Away Win
88%
-20.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LPS EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 94%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.68/2.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.52/0.26
-1% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +150%
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 9
195 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LPS
0W-0D-1L
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
28% Ball Possession 72%
3 Total Shots 30
1 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
09.05.2024 LPS LPS 0-5 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LPS
0-1
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH LPS vs IFK Mariehamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Mariehamn squeezed past LPS 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had IFK Mariehamn as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, LPS had 37% of the ball to IFK Mariehamn's 63%, shots finished 7-14.

What was the final score of LPS vs IFK Mariehamn?

LPS 0-1 IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LPS vs IFK Mariehamn?

Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Mariehamn win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split LPS 18%, draw 15%, IFK Mariehamn 67%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Mariehamn), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IFK Mariehamn) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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