LPS 0-5 IFK Mariehamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 9 May 2024

📅09/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
12.23
Draw
13%
8.78
Away Pick
71%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under
31%
Over
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
38%
4-5
22%
6+
24%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
56%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
IFK Mariehamn win — 71%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
5%
+11.4pp
13%
Draw
8%
+5.3pp
71%
Away Win
88%
-16.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LPS EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 94%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.71/0.03
+34% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +150%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
291 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 501 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LPS
0-5
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
28% Ball Possession 72%
3 Total Shots 30
1 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH LPS vs IFK Mariehamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Mariehamn ran out comfortable winners over LPS 5-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had IFK Mariehamn as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%) came in.

On the day, LPS had 28% of the ball to IFK Mariehamn's 72%, shots finished 3-30.

What was the final score of LPS vs IFK Mariehamn?

LPS 0-5 IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LPS vs IFK Mariehamn?

Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Mariehamn win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split LPS 16%, draw 13%, IFK Mariehamn 71%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Mariehamn), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IFK Mariehamn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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