KPV Kokkola 4-0 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 9 May 2024

📅09/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.04
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
47%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.18
Over Pick
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.37
2-3
43%
1.88
4-5
25%
2.95
6+
9%
8.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+1.6pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.5pp
47%
Away Win
54%
-7.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KPV Kokkola EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 58%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.33/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-4% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +43%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KPV Kokkola
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Jaro
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Jaro Jaro 3-1 HT 0-1 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola FINY
29.07.2023 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola 1-1 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
21.05.2023 Jaro Jaro 1-0 HT 1-0 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola FİN2
26.04.2023 Jaro Jaro 1-2 HT 0-1 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola FİK
11.09.2022 Jaro Jaro 2-1 HT 1-0 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola FINY
07.08.2022 Jaro Jaro 3-0 HT 1-0 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KPV Kokkola
4-0
AWAY Jaro
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH KPV Kokkola vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KPV Kokkola cruised past Jaro 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Jaro at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, KPV Kokkola had 50% of the ball to Jaro's 50%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jaro led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for KPV Kokkola and 1.83 for Jaro.

What was the final score of KPV Kokkola vs Jaro?

KPV Kokkola 4-0 Jaro in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KPV Kokkola vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split KPV Kokkola 23%, draw 30%, Jaro 47%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Jaro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jaro) ✓ Over 2.5
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