FC Jazz 1-1 TPS Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 9 May 2024

📅09/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.09
Draw
21%
4.19
Away Pick
54%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.23
Over
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
25%
4.58
2-3
37%
1.9
4-5
29%
2.88
6+
9%
8.22
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.58 — our 25% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
TPS Turku win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
17%
+8.4pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.4pp
54%
Away Win
63%
-8.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.6pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Jazz EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 67%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Jazz
2W-1D-3L
AWAY TPS Turku
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
29.07.2016 FC Jazz FC Jazz 0-4 HT 0-2 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
29.05.2016 TPS Turku TPS Turku 5-1 HT 1-0 FC Jazz FC Jazz FİN2
22.08.2015 TPS Turku TPS Turku 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Jazz FC Jazz FİN2
22.06.2015 FC Jazz FC Jazz 0-1 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
02.05.2015 TPS Turku TPS Turku 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Jazz FC Jazz FİN2
18.09.2004 FC Jazz FC Jazz 1-1 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN
POST-MATCH FC Jazz vs TPS Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Jazz and TPS Turku couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was TPS Turku at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, TPS Turku led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Jazz and 1.83 for TPS Turku.

What was the final score of FC Jazz vs TPS Turku?

FC Jazz 1-1 TPS Turku in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Jazz vs TPS Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated an TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split FC Jazz 25%, draw 21%, TPS Turku 54%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİK More Finland - Suomen Cup
9 May 2024
15:00 LPS vs IFK Mariehamn Analysis →
18:30 KPV Kokkola vs Jaro Analysis →