Yunnan Yukun 1-2 Zhejiang G. FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.96
Draw
17%
3.8
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.94
Over 2.5
66%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.25
No
45%
3.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
9.23
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
45%
2.45
4-5 Goals
26%
2.22
6+ Goals
16%
3.24
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 2.45 — our 45% vs market 33.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
38%
2.58
1/2
7%
22.25
1/X
4%
11.8
X/1
13%
5.73
X/2
7%
7.82
X/X
10%
7.41
2/1
5%
17.15
2/2
13%
4.19
2/X
3%
12.25
Value flag · 1/1 at 2.58 — our 38% vs market 32.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
47%
+8.5pp
17%
Draw
23%
-5.7pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
22%
+12.3pp
66%
Over 2.5
78%
-12.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
76%
-21.1pp
45%
BTTS No
24%
+21.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.00/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.01
+24% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +39%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
16.1 Crosses 19.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yunnan Yukun
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.71 xG 1.96
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
266 Passes 364
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 31
24 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.07.2025 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 3-1 HT 0-1 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİNSL
01.03.2025 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 1-1 HT 0-1 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunnan Yukun
1-2
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
1.26 xG 2.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
289 Passes 348
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Yunnan Yukun vs Zhejiang G. FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhejiang G. FC nicked a narrow win over Yunnan Yukun 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Yunnan Yukun carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Yunnan Yukun had 46% of the ball to Zhejiang G. FC's 54%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.26 to 2.50 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Zhejiang G. FC's control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zhejiang G. FC led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yunnan Yukun and 2.00 for Zhejiang G. FC.

What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Yunnan Yukun 1-2 Zhejiang G. FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 55%, draw 17%, Zhejiang G. FC 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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