Beijing Guoan 3-0 Dalian Zhixing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.7
No
40%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.27
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
30%
2.74
6+ Goals
14%
7.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.82
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.55
X/1
23%
4.06
X/2
9%
11.9
X/X
10%
6.47
2/1
5%
20.1
2/2
10%
9.19
2/X
6%
17.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.4pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.9pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
55%
+5.6pp
40%
BTTS No
45%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 20%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.10/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.03
+17% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
35.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
26.2 Crosses 15.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.14 xG 0.88
68% Ball Possession 32%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
518 Passes 194
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2025 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 4-2 HT 2-0 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing ÇİNSL
21.06.2025 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 1-1 HT 1-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNK
05.05.2025 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 0-2 HT 0-2 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
3-0
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
3.38 xG 0.48
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
423 Passes 274
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan swept aside Dalian Zhixing 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 58% of the ball to Dalian Zhixing's 42%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 3.38 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Beijing Guoan and 1.00 for Dalian Zhixing.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing?

Beijing Guoan 3-0 Dalian Zhixing in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 55%, draw 22%, Dalian Zhixing 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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