Beijing Guoan 4-2 Dalian Zhixing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.68
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.64
6+ Goals
12%
6.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.85
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.35
X/1
22%
4.17
X/2
5%
11.6
X/X
9%
6.78
2/1
6%
19.4
2/2
10%
8.66
2/X
9%
17.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
62%
-2.7pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.8pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+1.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.99/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.62
+13% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
414 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 77%
33.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
25.0 Crosses 16.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.92 xG 0.44
71% Ball Possession 29%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 7
535 Passes 152
88% Pass Accuracy 64%
24 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.06.2025 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 1-1 HT 1-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNK
05.05.2025 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 0-2 HT 0-2 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
4-2
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
2.36 xG 1.31
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
501 Passes 237
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan got the better of Dalian Zhixing 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 64% of the ball to Dalian Zhixing's 36%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.36 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Beijing Guoan and 0.50 for Dalian Zhixing.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing?

Beijing Guoan 4-2 Dalian Zhixing in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 60%, draw 21%, Dalian Zhixing 19%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
26 Sep 2025
13:00 Shanghai Shenhua vs Meizhou Hakka Analysis →
15:00 Shanghai Port vs Wuhan Three Towns Analysis →
15:00 Zhejiang G. FC vs Chengdu Qianbao Analysis →