Shanghai Port 3-2 Wuhan Three Towns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.25
Draw
15%
6.26
Away
10%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
4.0
Over 2.5
68%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
9.5
2-3 Goals
39%
2.5
4-5 Goals
30%
2.23
6+ Goals
17%
3.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1.34
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
22.1
X/1
19%
4.22
X/2
3%
23.4
X/X
6%
12.05
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
17.0
2/2
2%
17.25
2/X
5%
25.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.0 — our 13% vs market 3.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
76%
-1.0pp
15%
Draw
14%
+1.3pp
10%
Away Win
10%
-0.3pp
32%
Under 2.5
22%
+10.3pp
68%
Over 2.5
78%
-10.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.9pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 12%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
3.11/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/2.48
+28% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +15%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
449 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
24.4 Crosses 12.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Port
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.79 xG 1.05
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
460 Passes 264
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2025 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 0-2 HT 0-2 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
25.06.2024 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 0-2 HT 0-2 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
01.03.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 3-1 HT 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
12.07.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 3-1 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
15.04.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 0-2 HT 0-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
12.07.2022 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 0-1 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Port
3-2
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
2.31 xG 1.08
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
414 Passes 168
88% Pass Accuracy 67%
40 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shanghai Port vs Wuhan Three Towns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port edged past Wuhan Three Towns 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shanghai Port as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shanghai Port had 65% of the ball to Wuhan Three Towns's 35%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 2.31 to 1.08 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shanghai Port's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Port had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Shanghai Port and 0.50 for Wuhan Three Towns.

What was the final score of Shanghai Port vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Shanghai Port 3-2 Wuhan Three Towns in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Port vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Port 75%, draw 15%, Wuhan Three Towns 10%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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