Zhejiang G. FC 3-3 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 26 Sep 2025

Zhejiang G. FC
3-3 HT 2-3
Chengdu Qianbao
📅26/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2026

Zhejiang G. FC vs Chengdu Qianbao Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.81
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
50%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
9.28
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.8 — our 50% vs market 47.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
19%
5.69
1/2
5%
21.7
1/X
3%
13.95
X/1
7%
7.96
X/2
12%
4.66
X/X
12%
5.34
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
32%
2.5
2/X
6%
13.05
Value flag · 1/1 at 5.69 — our 19% vs market 13.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.8pp
49%
Away Win
49%
-0.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zhejiang G. FC v Chengdu Qianbao — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 54%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.31/2.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.52
+8% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +84%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
15.4 Crosses 19.6
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.9

Zhejiang G. FC vs Chengdu Qianbao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.86 xG 1.98
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
324 Passes 338
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2025 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 HT 1-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİNSL
28.07.2024 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
10.04.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 3-0 HT 1-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİNSL
29.07.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-2 HT 1-1 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİNSL
30.04.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
15.12.2022 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN

Zhejiang G. FC 3-3 Chengdu Qianbao — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
3-3
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.67 xG 1.95
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
445 Passes 284
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zhejiang G. FC vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhejiang G. FC and Chengdu Qianbao shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Chengdu Qianbao at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Zhejiang G. FC had 60% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 40%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.67 to 1.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Zhejiang G. FC and 2.00 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Zhejiang G. FC vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Zhejiang G. FC 3-3 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhejiang G. FC vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Zhejiang G. FC 29%, draw 22%, Chengdu Qianbao 49%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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