Lübeck 3-1 VfB Oldenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 May 2026

📅06/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
42%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.35
No
40%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.7pp
30%
Draw
22%
+8.2pp
42%
Away Win
52%
-9.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
70%
-10.2pp
40%
BTTS No
30%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lübeck EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 56%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
2.30/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.59
+79% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -23%
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lübeck
1W-2D-3L
AWAY VfB Oldenburg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.08.2025 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 4-0 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
26.10.2024 Lübeck Lübeck 1-1 HT 0-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
18.04.2022 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
01.04.2022 Lübeck Lübeck 1-2 HT 1-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
23.09.2019 Lübeck Lübeck 3-1 HT 1-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
30.08.2015 Lübeck Lübeck 0-1 HT 0-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lübeck vs VfB Oldenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lübeck got the better of VfB Oldenburg 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was VfB Oldenburg at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VfB Oldenburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lübeck and 1.50 for VfB Oldenburg.

What was the final score of Lübeck vs VfB Oldenburg?

Lübeck 3-1 VfB Oldenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 06/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lübeck vs VfB Oldenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an VfB Oldenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lübeck 28%, draw 30%, VfB Oldenburg 42%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (VfB Oldenburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VfB Oldenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
6 May 2026
19:00 Hannover 96 II vs Kickers Emden Analysis →
20:00 St. Pauli II vs Bremer SV Analysis →