06/06/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
0-0
Tayvan vs Umman Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
6%
33%
Draw
13%
33%
Away Win
81%
50%
Under 2.5
36%
50%
Over 2.5
64%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tayvan v Umman — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tayvan
EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
Umman
EU Bookmakers 85%
-14% /
-14%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+9% /
+9%
0.10/1.58
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/1.00
-75%
/
+45%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-21%
/
-67%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
0
Total Shots
0
0
Shots on Target
0
0
Corners
0
0 · 0%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
0 · 0%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0
–
Crosses
29.0
1.5
Yellow Cards
2.0
Tayvan vs Umman Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Tayvan
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Umman
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
40%
Ball Possession
60%
3
Total Shots
18
0
Shots on Target
11
4
Corners
9
3
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
16.11.2023
Umman
3-0
HT 2-0
Tayvan
DKE
3-0
HT 2-0
Tayvan
DKE
POST-MATCH
Tayvan vs Umman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Umman swept aside Tayvan 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Umman found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Tayvan vs Umman?
Tayvan 0-3 Umman in the World Cup Qualifiers on 06/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tayvan vs Umman?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tayvan win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Tayvan 33%, draw 33%, Umman 33%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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DKE
More World Cup Qualifiers
6 Jun 2024