Vietnam SR 3-2 Filipinler — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 6 Jun 2024

📅06/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.3
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
24%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.06
6+ Goals
10%
9.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.11 — our 28% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
72%
-15.5pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.6pp
24%
Away Win
9%
+14.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.3pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vietnam SR EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Filipinler EU Bookmakers 12%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.92/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+12% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +143%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
418 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.6 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vietnam SR
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Filipinler
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.09 xG 0.71
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
234 Passes 286
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 9
8 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2023 Filipinler Filipinler 0-2 HT 0-1 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR DKE
14.12.2022 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR 1-0 Filipinler Filipinler HAZTUR
06.12.2018 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR 2-1 HT 0-0 Filipinler Filipinler AFF
02.12.2018 Filipinler Filipinler 1-2 HT 1-1 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR AFF
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vietnam SR
3-2
AWAY Filipinler
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vietnam SR vs Filipinler
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vietnam SR edged past Filipinler 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vietnam SR as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vietnam SR had 60% of the ball to Filipinler's 40%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vietnam SR had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Vietnam SR and 0.50 for Filipinler.

What was the final score of Vietnam SR vs Filipinler?

Vietnam SR 3-2 Filipinler in the World Cup Qualifiers on 06/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vietnam SR vs Filipinler?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vietnam SR win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Vietnam SR 57%, draw 19%, Filipinler 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vietnam SR) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vietnam SR) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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