Endonezya 0-2 Irak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 6 Jun 2024

📅06/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.53
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.68
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.4pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Endonezya EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Irak EU Bookmakers 50%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.40
-100% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +138%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.0
Crosses 41.4
Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Endonezya
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Irak
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
1.16 xG 3.09
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
220 Passes 505
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
15.01.2024 Endonezya Endonezya 1-3 HT 1-2 Irak Irak ASK
16.11.2023 Irak Irak 5-1 HT 2-1 Endonezya Endonezya DKE
19.11.2013 Endonezya Endonezya 0-2 HT 0-2 Irak Irak ASKE
06.02.2013 Irak Irak 1-0 HT 0-0 Endonezya Endonezya ASKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Endonezya
0-2
AWAY Irak
0.38 xG 2.61
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
279 Passes 242
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Endonezya vs Irak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Irak beat Endonezya 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Irak as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Endonezya had 54% of the ball to Irak's 46%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.38 to 2.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Irak led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Endonezya and 2.75 for Irak.

What was the final score of Endonezya vs Irak?

Endonezya 0-2 Irak in the World Cup Qualifiers on 06/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Endonezya vs Irak?

Before kick-off our model rated an Irak win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Endonezya 27%, draw 26%, Irak 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Irak), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Irak) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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