Endonezya vs Irak Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Endonezya v Irak — Team-Based Signals
Endonezya vs Irak Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
5-1
HT 2-1
Endonezya
DKE
0-2
HT 0-2
Irak
ASKE
1-0
HT 0-0
Endonezya
ASKE
Endonezya 1-3 Irak — Actual Match Statistics
Irak beat Endonezya 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Irak as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Endonezya had 34% of the ball to Irak's 66%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.16 to 3.09.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Irak led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Endonezya and 2.67 for Irak.
What was the final score of Endonezya vs Irak?
Endonezya 1-3 Irak in the Asian Cup on 15/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Endonezya vs Irak?
Before kick-off our model rated an Irak win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Endonezya 24%, draw 28%, Irak 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Irak), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.