Malezya 0-4 Ürdün — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Asian Cup, 15 Jan 2024

Malezya
0-4 HT 0-3
Ürdün
📅15/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Asian Cup – 2023

Malezya vs Ürdün Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
23%
3.62
6+ Goals
12%
14.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.62 — our 23% vs market 22.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.62
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
26.5
1/X
8%
14.55
X/1
16%
7.14
X/2
16%
4.27
X/X
12%
4.36
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
19%
2.75
2/X
8%
14.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.5 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-3.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malezya v Ürdün — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malezya EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ürdün EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Malezya vs Ürdün Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malezya
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ürdün
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
2 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.10.2021 Ürdün Ürdün 4-0 Malezya Malezya HAZ
30.08.2019 Malezya Malezya 0-1 HT 0-1 Ürdün Ürdün HAZ

Malezya 0-4 Ürdün — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malezya
0-4
AWAY Ürdün
0.52 xG 2.35
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
342 Passes 298
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Malezya vs Ürdün
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ürdün ran out comfortable winners over Malezya 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ürdün as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Malezya had 52% of the ball to Ürdün's 48%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.52 to 2.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ürdün led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Malezya and 2.50 for Ürdün.

What was the final score of Malezya vs Ürdün?

Malezya 0-4 Ürdün in the Asian Cup on 15/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malezya vs Ürdün?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ürdün win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Malezya 30%, draw 28%, Ürdün 43%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ürdün), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ürdün) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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