Güney Kore 3-1 Bahreyn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Asian Cup, 15 Jan 2024

Güney Kore
3-1 HT 1-0
Bahreyn
📅15/01/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Asian Cup – 2023

Güney Kore vs Bahreyn Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.28
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.77
2-3 Goals
47%
1.93
4-5 Goals
20%
2.85
6+ Goals
9%
7.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.77 — our 24% vs market 16.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.39
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
27.5
X/1
17%
3.27
X/2
5%
25.0
X/X
11%
8.37
2/1
9%
24.7
2/2
4%
20.7
2/X
6%
27.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
74%
-13.4pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.0pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+6.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Güney Kore v Bahreyn — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Güney Kore EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahreyn EU Bookmakers 11%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.80/0.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.14/1.94
-31% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / +34%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
418 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Güney Kore vs Bahreyn Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Güney Kore
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Bahreyn
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 1.27
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
734 Passes 222
85% Pass Accuracy 64%
27 Box Touches 12
35 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.01.2019 Güney Kore Güney Kore 2-1 HT 1-0 Bahreyn Bahreyn ASK
10.01.2011 Güney Kore Güney Kore 2-1 HT 1-0 Bahreyn Bahreyn ASK
15.07.2007 Bahreyn Bahreyn 2-1 HT 1-1 Güney Kore Güney Kore ASK

Güney Kore 3-1 Bahreyn — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Güney Kore
3-1
AWAY Bahreyn
2.05 xG 0.83
71% Ball Possession 29%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
583 Passes 186
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
29 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Güney Kore vs Bahreyn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güney Kore got the better of Bahreyn 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Güney Kore as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Güney Kore had 71% of the ball to Bahreyn's 29%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.05 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Güney Kore had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Güney Kore and 1.33 for Bahreyn.

What was the final score of Güney Kore vs Bahreyn?

Güney Kore 3-1 Bahreyn in the Asian Cup on 15/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Güney Kore vs Bahreyn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Güney Kore win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Güney Kore 61%, draw 24%, Bahreyn 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Güney Kore) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Güney Kore) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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