Nosaby IF 0-4 Hogaborgs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 6 Jun 2025

📅06/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.0pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nosaby IF EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.65/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/2.88
-9% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -41%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
295 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nosaby IF
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hogaborgs BK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
05.10.2024 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK 3-0 HT 2-0 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
23.06.2024 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 2-1 HT 2-0 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nosaby IF
0-4
AWAY Hogaborgs BK
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Nosaby IF vs Hogaborgs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hogaborgs BK cruised past Nosaby IF 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Nosaby IF at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Nosaby IF had 46% of the ball to Hogaborgs BK's 54%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nosaby IF and 2.00 for Hogaborgs BK.

What was the final score of Nosaby IF vs Hogaborgs BK?

Nosaby IF 0-4 Hogaborgs BK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 06/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nosaby IF vs Hogaborgs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nosaby IF win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nosaby IF 45%, draw 22%, Hogaborgs BK 33%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nosaby IF), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nosaby IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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