Hainan Star 0-1 Guangxi Hengchen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
5.91
Draw
33%
4.49
Away
33%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
14%
+19.3pp
33%
Draw
19%
+14.1pp
33%
Away Win
67%
-33.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hainan Star EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Hengchen EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
Crosses 13.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Hainan Star vs Guangxi Hengchen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Hengchen nicked a narrow win over Hainan Star 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Guangxi Hengchen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Hainan Star vs Guangxi Hengchen?

Hainan Star 0-1 Guangxi Hengchen in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hainan Star vs Guangxi Hengchen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hainan Star win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Hainan Star 33%, draw 33%, Guangxi Hengchen 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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