Yunnan Yukun 2-0 Foshan Nanshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.74
Over 2.5
54%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.33
2-3 Goals
43%
2.1
4-5 Goals
22%
2.53
6+ Goals
13%
5.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-16.0pp
20%
Draw
11%
+8.2pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+7.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
33%
+13.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
67%
-13.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.0pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 9%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.96/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.40
+74% / +134% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +13%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
436 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 74%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
31.4 Crosses 11.4
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yunnan Yukun
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.82 xG 0.11
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
405 Passes 223
77% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2024 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 3-0 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
09.03.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 0-0 HT 0-0 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunnan Yukun
2-0
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
2.19 xG 0.30
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
324 Passes 165
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
31 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 11
POST-MATCH Yunnan Yukun vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun got the better of Foshan Nanshi 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yunnan Yukun as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Yunnan Yukun had 61% of the ball to Foshan Nanshi's 39%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.19 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Yunnan Yukun had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Yunnan Yukun and 0.00 for Foshan Nanshi.

What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Foshan Nanshi?

Yunnan Yukun 2-0 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Foshan Nanshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 66%, draw 20%, Foshan Nanshi 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yunnan Yukun), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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