Foshan Nanshi 1-3 Guangzhou Evergrande — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 6 Jul 2024

Foshan Nanshi
1-3 HT 0-1
Guangzhou Evergrande
📅06/07/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division – 2024

Foshan Nanshi vs Guangzhou Evergrande Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.95
2-3 Goals
33%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.14
6+ Goals
9%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 32% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-4.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.3pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Foshan Nanshi v Guangzhou Evergrande — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangzhou Evergrande EU Bookmakers 46%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.21/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.02
+21% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -43%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
244 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
18.8 Crosses 15.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9

Foshan Nanshi vs Guangzhou Evergrande Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Guangzhou Evergrande
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.54 xG 1.13
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
200 Passes 205
69% Pass Accuracy 68%
15 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.03.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 0-1 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande ÇİN2
09.03.2024 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande 0-1 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
16.09.2023 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande 1-0 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
10.06.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-2 HT 0-2 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande ÇİN2
23.05.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-0 HT 0-0 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Guangzhou Evergrande
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangzhou Evergrande saw off Foshan Nanshi 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Guangzhou Evergrande made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Foshan Nanshi and 0.80 for Guangzhou Evergrande.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Guangzhou Evergrande?

Foshan Nanshi 1-3 Guangzhou Evergrande in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Guangzhou Evergrande?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guangzhou Evergrande win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 35%, draw 27%, Guangzhou Evergrande 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guangzhou Evergrande) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guangzhou Evergrande) ✗ BTTS No
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