Smorgon 0-0 BATE Borisov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smorgon EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 48%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -4%
1.19/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.77
+1% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smorgon
0W-0D-4L
AWAY BATE Borisov
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Smorgon Smorgon 1-2 HT 1-1 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
29.04.2023 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 2-0 HT 2-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
12.09.2021 Smorgon Smorgon 1-3 HT 1-3 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
01.05.2021 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-0 HT 1-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smorgon
0-0
AWAY BATE Borisov
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Smorgon vs BATE Borisov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smorgon and BATE Borisov fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Smorgon had 38% of the ball to BATE Borisov's 62%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, BATE Borisov led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Smorgon and 2.00 for BATE Borisov.

What was the final score of Smorgon vs BATE Borisov?

Smorgon 0-0 BATE Borisov in the Belarus - Premier League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smorgon vs BATE Borisov?

Before kick-off our model rated an BATE Borisov win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Smorgon 35%, draw 26%, BATE Borisov 40%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (BATE Borisov) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BATE Borisov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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