Gomel 5-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.9
Draw
36%
3.18
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.09
No
48%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.39
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
5.01
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
48%
-12.3pp
36%
Draw
28%
+8.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.4pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gomel EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.36/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.00
-7% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gomel
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2024 Gomel Gomel 3-2 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk HAZ
07.08.2022 Gomel Gomel 4-1 HT 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
22.07.2020 Gomel Gomel 0-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gomel
5-0
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
38% Ball Possession 62%
18 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gomel vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gomel cruised past Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 36% / 28%) promised a tight game; Gomel found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gomel had 38% of the ball to Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's 62%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gomel had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Gomel and 1.33 for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk.

What was the final score of Gomel vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Gomel 5-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gomel vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gomel win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gomel 36%, draw 36%, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 28%. The final score 5-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/36/28) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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