Vitebsk 0-1 Isloch Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.37
2-3 Goals
46%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
5.08
6+ Goals
6%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.6pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Isloch Minsk EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +17%
1.24/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.01
-3% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitebsk
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Isloch Minsk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.03.2024 Vitebsk Vitebsk 1-4 HT 1-2 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLRK
06.11.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 1-3 HT 0-1 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
08.07.2022 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
02.10.2021 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-4 HT 0-1 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
19.05.2021 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
07.08.2020 Vitebsk Vitebsk 2-3 HT 1-1 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitebsk
0-1
AWAY Isloch Minsk
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vitebsk vs Isloch Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isloch Minsk nicked a narrow win over Vitebsk 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vitebsk at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Vitebsk had 52% of the ball to Isloch Minsk's 48%, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Isloch Minsk led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vitebsk and 2.67 for Isloch Minsk.

What was the final score of Vitebsk vs Isloch Minsk?

Vitebsk 0-1 Isloch Minsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitebsk vs Isloch Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitebsk win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vitebsk 42%, draw 26%, Isloch Minsk 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vitebsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vitebsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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