VPS 2-3 EIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 6 Jul 2024

VPS
2-3 HT 1-1
EIF
📅06/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2024

VPS vs EIF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.21
Over 2.5
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.45
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
2.92
6+ Goals
15%
8.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.62
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
20.1
X/1
18%
3.51
X/2
6%
15.95
X/X
5%
7.12
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
6%
12.45
2/X
6%
20.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
68%
-3.1pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.2pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

VPS v EIF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VPS EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY EIF EU Bookmakers 16%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.05/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.47
-3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +0%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
442 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
22.3 Crosses 15.3
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

VPS vs EIF Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VPS
4W-1D-0L
AWAY EIF
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
3.15 xG 1.09
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
369 Passes 211
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.06.2024 EIF EIF 1-2 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FİN
19.09.2021 EIF EIF 2-3 HT 0-2 VPS VPS FİN2
30.06.2021 VPS VPS 2-1 HT 2-0 EIF EIF FİN2
05.09.2020 VPS VPS 1-0 HT 1-0 EIF EIF FİN2
04.07.2020 EIF EIF 0-0 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FİN2

VPS 2-3 EIF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VPS
2-3
AWAY EIF
2.65 xG 2.62
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
453 Passes 279
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH VPS vs EIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EIF nicked a narrow win over VPS 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had VPS at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, VPS had 61% of the ball to EIF's 39%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.65 to 2.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, VPS had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for VPS and 0.80 for EIF.

What was the final score of VPS vs EIF?

VPS 2-3 EIF in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VPS vs EIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split VPS 65%, draw 18%, EIF 17%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (VPS) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VPS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
6 Jul 2024
15:00 Ilves Tampere vs HJK Helsinki Analysis →