Fortuna Sittard 5-2 Helmond Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.2pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.0pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.8pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 23%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.26/2.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.67
-87% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Sittard
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Helmond Sport
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
311 Passes 331
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
14.11.2019 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-1 HT 0-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HAZ
25.09.2018 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 0-5 HT 0-1 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOK
02.04.2018 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 3-0 HT 2-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
27.11.2017 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-3 HT 1-2 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL2
07.04.2017 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 4-1 HT 2-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
25.11.2016 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Sittard
5-2
AWAY Helmond Sport
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Fortuna Sittard vs Helmond Sport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Sittard swept aside Helmond Sport 5-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fortuna Sittard as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Fortuna Sittard had 49% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 51%, shots finished 12-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Sittard had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 0.67 for Helmond Sport.

What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard vs Helmond Sport?

Fortuna Sittard 5-2 Helmond Sport in the Friendlies on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard vs Helmond Sport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 50%, draw 24%, Helmond Sport 26%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Sittard), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Sittard) ✓ Over 2.5
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