06/07/2024
·
12:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Monaco vs Servette Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.39
— our 25% vs market 14.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
24%
Draw
24%
35%
Away Win
27%
48%
Under 2.5
36%
52%
Over 2.5
64%
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
49%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monaco v Servette — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Monaco
EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Servette
EU Bookmakers 31%
+32% /
+32%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-22% /
-22%
4.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.57/2.91
+135%
/
-40%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-52%
/
-45%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
14
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
4
327 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
378 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Monaco vs Servette
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Servette nicked a narrow win over Monaco 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 35% — and on the day Servette made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Monaco vs Servette?
Monaco 0-1 Servette in the Friendlies on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monaco vs Servette?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Monaco 40%, draw 24%, Servette 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Monaco)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
6 Jul 2024