Monaco 0-1 Servette — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
5.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.99
4-5 Goals
23%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
6.59
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.39 — our 25% vs market 14.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-8.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.2pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monaco EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Servette EU Bookmakers 31%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
4.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/2.91
+135% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -45%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Monaco vs Servette
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Servette nicked a narrow win over Monaco 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 35% — and on the day Servette made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Monaco vs Servette?

Monaco 0-1 Servette in the Friendlies on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monaco vs Servette?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Monaco 40%, draw 24%, Servette 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Monaco) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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