06/07/2024
·
12:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Lisen vs Skalica Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
24%
Draw
25%
36%
Away Win
38%
60%
Under 2.5
44%
40%
Over 2.5
56%
43%
BTTS Yes
58%
57%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lisen v Skalica — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lisen
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Skalica
EU Bookmakers 42%
-52% /
-52%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-31%
/
-58%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
9
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
357 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
322 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Lisen vs Skalica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lisen and Skalica shared the points in a 2-2 draw.
Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Lisen vs Skalica?
Lisen 2-2 Skalica in the Friendlies on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lisen vs Skalica?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lisen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lisen 40%, draw 24%, Skalica 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Lisen)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
HAZ
More Friendlies
6 Jul 2024