Universitario de Vinto 1-2 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
42%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
37%
-8.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+6.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 39%
-16% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.04/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.25
-11% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
233 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
17.7 Crosses 16.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario de Vinto
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Aurora
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.04 xG 1.07
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
289 Passes 256
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2024 Aurora Aurora 1-2 HT 0-1 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
25.05.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 2-2 HT 1-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
30.07.2023 Aurora Aurora 0-1 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
26.02.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-1 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
20.10.2022 Aurora Aurora 0-2 HT 0-2 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario de Vinto
1-2
AWAY Aurora
1.78 xG 1.73
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
237 Passes 289
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Universitario de Vinto vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora squeezed past Universitario de Vinto 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aurora as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Universitario de Vinto had 45% of the ball to Aurora's 55%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.78 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Universitario de Vinto had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Universitario de Vinto and 0.80 for Aurora.

What was the final score of Universitario de Vinto vs Aurora?

Universitario de Vinto 1-2 Aurora in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario de Vinto vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Universitario de Vinto 28%, draw 29%, Aurora 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aurora) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BOLİ More Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme
6 Jul 2025
00:30 Real Tomayapo vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo Analysis →
22:00 Always Ready vs The Strongest Analysis →