Leevon / PPK 3-2 Progress / AFA Olaine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.18
Draw
30%
7.13
Away
19%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.7
No
34%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
80%
-29.8pp
30%
Draw
11%
+18.8pp
19%
Away Win
8%
+11.0pp
66%
BTTS Yes
55%
+11.6pp
34%
BTTS No
45%
-11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leevon / PPK EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Progress / AFA Olaine EU Bookmakers 11%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.74/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/4.06
+1% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -41%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
459 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leevon / PPK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Progress / AFA Olaine
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
04.08.2024 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine 3-1 Leevon / PPK Leevon / PPK LET1
POST-MATCH Leevon / PPK vs Progress / AFA Olaine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leevon / PPK nicked a narrow win over Progress / AFA Olaine 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leevon / PPK as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

What was the final score of Leevon / PPK vs Progress / AFA Olaine?

Leevon / PPK 3-2 Progress / AFA Olaine in the Latvia - 1st Division on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leevon / PPK vs Progress / AFA Olaine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leevon / PPK win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Leevon / PPK 51%, draw 30%, Progress / AFA Olaine 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leevon / PPK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leevon / PPK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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