Rezekne / BJSS 2-1 Smiltene — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
45%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
20%
+6.8pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.4pp
45%
Away Win
59%
-14.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rezekne / BJSS EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Smiltene EU Bookmakers 62%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+18% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
216 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rezekne / BJSS
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Smiltene
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
28.09.2024 Smiltene Smiltene 3-3 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS LET1
25.05.2024 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS 0-4 HT 0-2 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
07.10.2023 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS 1-2 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
03.06.2023 Smiltene Smiltene 5-1 HT 3-1 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS LET1
POST-MATCH Rezekne / BJSS vs Smiltene
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rezekne / BJSS edged past Smiltene 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Smiltene at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Smiltene led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Rezekne / BJSS and 3.50 for Smiltene.

What was the final score of Rezekne / BJSS vs Smiltene?

Rezekne / BJSS 2-1 Smiltene in the Latvia - 1st Division on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rezekne / BJSS vs Smiltene?

Before kick-off our model rated an Smiltene win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rezekne / BJSS 26%, draw 29%, Smiltene 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Smiltene) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Smiltene) ✓ BTTS Yes
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