Baerum 3-1 Harstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.18
Draw
23%
7.13
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.49
No
34%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
24%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
80%
-19.1pp
23%
Draw
11%
+11.8pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+7.3pp
66%
BTTS Yes
63%
+3.4pp
34%
BTTS No
37%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baerum EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Harstad EU Bookmakers 12%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
3.69/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/3.17
+9% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
470 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baerum
3-1
AWAY Harstad
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Baerum vs Harstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baerum beat Harstad 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Baerum as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Baerum had 59% of the ball to Harstad's 41%, shots finished 17-11.

What was the final score of Baerum vs Harstad?

Baerum 3-1 Harstad in the Norway - 3rd Division on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baerum vs Harstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baerum win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Baerum 61%, draw 23%, Harstad 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baerum), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baerum) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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