Ullern 3-4 Tromsö II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.29
No
33%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
39%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.9pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.1pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.9pp
67%
BTTS Yes
73%
-5.9pp
33%
BTTS No
27%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ullern EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsö II EU Bookmakers 22%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
4.48/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.32
+77% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
444 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ullern
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tromsö II
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.10.2021 Ullern Ullern 4-1 HT 3-1 Tromsö II Tromsö II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ullern
3-4
AWAY Tromsö II
48% Ball Possession 52%
23 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ullern vs Tromsö II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö II nicked a narrow win over Ullern 4-3 away from home. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ullern at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (67%) came in.

On the day, Ullern had 48% of the ball to Tromsö II's 52%, shots finished 23-12.

What was the final score of Ullern vs Tromsö II?

Ullern 3-4 Tromsö II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ullern vs Tromsö II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ullern win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Ullern 58%, draw 19%, Tromsö II 23%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ullern) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ullern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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