Lillehammer 1-0 Stromsgodset II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.94
Over 2.5
62%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.32
No
38%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
10.25
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
43%
2.61
4-5 Goals
26%
2.25
6+ Goals
15%
3.07
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 2.61 — our 43% vs market 31.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-12.8pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.8pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
22%
+16.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
78%
-16.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-9.7pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lillehammer EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Stromsgodset II EU Bookmakers 26%
-67% / -67% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.02/3.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/2.55
-60% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
332 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
POST-MATCH Lillehammer vs Stromsgodset II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lillehammer edged past Stromsgodset II 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lillehammer as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Lillehammer vs Stromsgodset II?

Lillehammer 1-0 Stromsgodset II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lillehammer vs Stromsgodset II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lillehammer win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lillehammer 46%, draw 24%, Stromsgodset II 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lillehammer) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lillehammer) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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