Sarpsborg 08 3-1 Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.74
Over 2.5
61%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.51
2-3 Goals
37%
2.19
4-5 Goals
32%
2.59
6+ Goals
12%
5.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.65
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
16.9
X/1
18%
4.23
X/2
6%
14.9
X/X
5%
8.19
2/1
8%
18.75
2/2
6%
10.9
2/X
6%
19.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
-3.0pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.5pp
16%
Away Win
15%
+1.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
33%
+6.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
67%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.4pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Haugesund EU Bookmakers 18%
-8% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.91/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.67
+1% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
422 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
26.0 Crosses 15.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarpsborg 08
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Haugesund
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.18 xG 1.18
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
378 Passes 315
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 2-2 HT 1-1 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
30.07.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 2-1 HT 0-1 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
30.04.2023 Haugesund Haugesund 0-0 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
08.10.2022 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 4-0 HT 3-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
24.07.2022 Haugesund Haugesund 3-1 HT 2-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
12.09.2021 Haugesund Haugesund 2-1 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarpsborg 08
3-1
AWAY Haugesund
2.32 xG 1.69
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
19 Corners 1
406 Passes 247
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
49 Box Touches 15
44 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 vs Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 saw off Haugesund 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sarpsborg 08 as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sarpsborg 08 had 61% of the ball to Haugesund's 39%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 2.32 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 1.33 for Haugesund.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs Haugesund?

Sarpsborg 08 3-1 Haugesund in the Norway - Eliteserien on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 63%, draw 20%, Haugesund 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sarpsborg 08), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sarpsborg 08) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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