Sandefjord 2-0 Rosenborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.66
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
27%
2.96
6+ Goals
11%
8.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.04
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.4
X/1
16%
5.44
X/2
6%
6.91
X/X
14%
5.5
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.9
2/2
16%
4.38
2/X
8%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.9 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.3pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.76/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.30
+43% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
19.3 Crosses 20.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandefjord
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Rosenborg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.45 xG 2.47
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
330 Passes 326
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2024 Sandefjord Sandefjord 0-1 HT 0-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
01.04.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-0 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
12.11.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 3-2 HT 3-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
23.04.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-1 HT 0-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
12.08.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-5 HT 2-2 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
16.05.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-0 HT 1-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandefjord
2-0
AWAY Rosenborg
1.17 xG 0.72
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
527 Passes 405
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 33
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sandefjord vs Rosenborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandefjord got the better of Rosenborg 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sandefjord as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sandefjord had 55% of the ball to Rosenborg's 45%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.17 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosenborg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sandefjord and 2.33 for Rosenborg.

What was the final score of Sandefjord vs Rosenborg?

Sandefjord 2-0 Rosenborg in the Norway - Eliteserien on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandefjord vs Rosenborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandefjord win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sandefjord 43%, draw 27%, Rosenborg 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sandefjord) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sandefjord) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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