Sandefjord 0-1 Rosenborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.99
4-5 Goals
25%
2.68
6+ Goals
16%
6.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.48
1/2
8%
21.15
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
11%
7.22
X/2
17%
4.93
X/X
12%
5.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
29.0
2/2
15%
2.66
2/X
5%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 8% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-6.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.8pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 50%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.17/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.13
-11% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
19.8 Crosses 20.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandefjord
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Rosenborg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.21 xG 2.66
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
316 Passes 336
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 35
9 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.04.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-0 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
12.11.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 3-2 HT 3-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
23.04.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-1 HT 0-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
12.08.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-5 HT 2-2 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
16.05.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-0 HT 1-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
24.10.2021 Rosenborg Rosenborg 4-1 HT 3-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandefjord
0-1
AWAY Rosenborg
2.92 xG 1.36
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
357 Passes 404
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sandefjord vs Rosenborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg squeezed past Sandefjord 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Rosenborg made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sandefjord had 47% of the ball to Rosenborg's 53%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 2.92 to 1.36 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sandefjord.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosenborg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sandefjord and 2.83 for Rosenborg.

What was the final score of Sandefjord vs Rosenborg?

Sandefjord 0-1 Rosenborg in the Norway - Eliteserien on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandefjord vs Rosenborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sandefjord 35%, draw 25%, Rosenborg 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosenborg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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